Question

Will the Arctic sea ice extent be lower on each day of 2023 compared to that of 2012?

Resolved :No50%

7 comments7

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction50% (15% - 52.1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

2.3

Community Peer Score

4.8

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Mar 3, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

Climate change denial

National Snow and Ice Data Center

Earth’s strongest ocean current could slow down by 20% by 2050 in a high emissions future

Guardian•Mar 3, 2025

Earth's strongest ocean current is slowing down due to climate change - and the consequences could be disastrous

Daily Mail•Mar 3, 2025

The Upside-Down Winter Of 2025

Forbes•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the minimum arctic sea ice extent in the following years?

3.94

What will be the maximum arctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?

14.4

What will be the minimum Antartic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?

2.29

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Mar 3, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

Climate change denial

National Snow and Ice Data Center

Earth’s strongest ocean current could slow down by 20% by 2050 in a high emissions future

Guardian•Mar 3, 2025

Earth's strongest ocean current is slowing down due to climate change - and the consequences could be disastrous

Daily Mail•Mar 3, 2025

The Upside-Down Winter Of 2025

Forbes•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the minimum arctic sea ice extent in the following years?

3.94

What will be the maximum arctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?

14.4

What will be the minimum Antartic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years?

2.29