Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many airborne objects will be shot down in North American airspace in 2023?

Resolved :44.35
3
10
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction4.35 (4.15 - 4.78)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50
...
...
...
...
4.148
4.35
4.78
0.2%

What was the final result?4

Community Baseline Score
194.3
Community Peer Score
43.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBecksatisficer
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2023 Leaderboard
North American Aerospace Defense Command
United States

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