Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates?

5
21
24 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Dateresolution
Date25thmedian75th
community
<200M
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>700M
0.8%
358.5M
370.2M
384.9M
0.8%

What was the final result?371M

Community Baseline Score
138.9
Community Peer Score
9.2
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
Environment & Climate
Economy & Business
Technology
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2023 Leaderboard
US House of Representatives
West Texas Intermediate
White House
US Department of Energy
Joe Biden
Petroleum
Strategic Petroleum Reserve (United States)
US Congress

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