Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will there be more Antarctic sea ice on March 7, 2023 than there was on March 7, 2022?

Resolved :No24%
4
4
Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction24% (20% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 24%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
50.0
Community Peer Score
6.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
Environment & Climate
2023 Leaderboard
Antarctica
National Snow and Ice Data Center

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