Question

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction1% (0.5% - 2.4%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Mar 6, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Geopolitics

Law

Politics

2020 Belarusian presidential election

European Union

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Belarus–Russia relations

Poland

Lithuania

Belarus

Latvia–Russia relations

Vladimir Putin

Alexander Lukashenko

‘A ritual for a dictator’: Lukashenko critics decry Belarus election

Guardian•Jan 23, 2025

What another Lukashenko ‘victory’ will mean for Europe’s security – and that of Belarus’ citizenry

The Conversation•Jan 23, 2025

Belarus election is poised to extend the 30-year rule of ‘Europe’s last dictator’

Associated Press•Jan 24, 2025

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