Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

[Short Fuse] Who will be the winner of the leadership race for the next First Minister of the Scottish Parliament?

5
20
29 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 27

Make a Prediction

CandidateMe
Ash Regan
no
Humza Yusaf
yes
Kate Forbes
no
Resolved Mar 27, 2023
Community Baseline Score
72.9
Community Peer Score
8.8
Learn more about scores here.
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