MetaculusM

Question

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

1

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction85.3% (67% - 93%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 85.3%

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 17, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2030

Lockheed Martin

Bordeaux–Mérignac Airport

Innovators gear up work on ‘green’ hydrogen plane with plans for nonstop 9-day trip around Earth

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

Why a cargo airline is eyeing a radical new aircraft design for its future planes

Business Insider•Feb 15, 2025

Palmer Luckey’s defense tech company will make next-gen military aircraft with Archer

Verge•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Mar 17, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2030

Lockheed Martin

Bordeaux–Mérignac Airport

Innovators gear up work on ‘green’ hydrogen plane with plans for nonstop 9-day trip around Earth

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

Why a cargo airline is eyeing a radical new aircraft design for its future planes

Business Insider•Feb 15, 2025

Palmer Luckey’s defense tech company will make next-gen military aircraft with Archer

Verge•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch