Question

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction20% (17.4% - 20.6%)

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50%

community: 20%

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Authors:

txmerritt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Government Accountability Office

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Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

85.3%

Will either a space elevator or a skyhook transport at least 10 metric tons (cumulative payloads) before 2046?

What will be the largest payload capacity (in tons) of a successfully reused launch vehicle in the following years?

75.1

Comments

? comments

Authors:

txmerritt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Government Accountability Office

Hypersonic Missiles at Center of New US Arms Race Against Russia and China

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Dozens of SUV-sized drones as fast as 120mph terrorized our town's livestock

Daily Mail•Dec 19, 2024

Bill aims to beef up US shipbuilding

Defense One•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

85.3%

Will either a space elevator or a skyhook transport at least 10 metric tons (cumulative payloads) before 2046?

What will be the largest payload capacity (in tons) of a successfully reused launch vehicle in the following years?

75.1

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will the US conduct a test flight of a military airship capable of transporting a at least a ten-ton payload by 2031?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

Will either a space elevator or a skyhook transport at least 10 metric tons (cumulative payloads) before 2046?

What will be the largest payload capacity (in tons) of a successfully reused launch vehicle in the following years?

Comments

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

Will either a space elevator or a skyhook transport at least 10 metric tons (cumulative payloads) before 2046?

What will be the largest payload capacity (in tons) of a successfully reused launch vehicle in the following years?

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

Will either a space elevator or a skyhook transport at least 10 metric tons (cumulative payloads) before 2046?

What will be the largest payload capacity (in tons) of a successfully reused launch vehicle in the following years?

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

Will either a space elevator or a skyhook transport at least 10 metric tons (cumulative payloads) before 2046?

What will be the largest payload capacity (in tons) of a successfully reused launch vehicle in the following years?