Question

Will the INF treaty functionally continue past 2025?

Resolved :No12%

41 comments41

Total Forecasters63

Community Prediction12% (4% - 28%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

7.3

Community Peer Score

0.8

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

2018-2019 Leaderboard

Ronald Reagan

Romania

China

Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty

North American Free Trade Agreement

United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement

United States

Poland

Donald Trump

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43%

Conditional on New START not being renewed or replaced by another similar treaty after February 2026, will there be a nuclear exchange between Russia and the US by 2035?

3.9%

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