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What will the total number of new COVID-19 associated hospital admissions in Virginia for the weeks shown below (starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday)?

75 comments75

30 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Week Ending	resolution
April 22	176
May 6	124
May 20	109
June 3	117
June 17	118
July 1	122
July 15	122
July 29	146
Aug 12	236
Aug 26	360

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.5k

137.7

179.1

227.2

0.1%

What was the final result?176

Community Baseline Score

110.5

Community Peer Score

5.5

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Aug 26

April 22

May 6

Aug 12

May 20

June 3

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II: Hospitalizations Series

Virginia Department of Health

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season?

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

6.96

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