Question
When will The One Ring be found?
Resolved :Jun 30, 20232023-09-05Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction2023-09-05 (2023-07-21 - 2023-12-06)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 21 Jul 2023 | — |
| median | 05 Sep 2023 | — |
| upper 75% | 06 Dec 2023 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2024-07-01 | 7.4% | — |
What was the final result?Jun 30, 2023
Community Baseline Score
11.2
Community Peer Score
13.0
Authors:
Opened:Mar 17, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 17, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch