Question
When will a humanoid robot be created that the general public judges as indistinguishable from humans?
Total Forecasters63
Community Prediction2050-02-01 (2037-01-01 - 2073-06-26)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2037 | — |
| median | 2050 | — |
| upper 75% | 2073 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100-01-01 | 13.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Apr 7, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 7, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
