Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will a humanoid robot be created that the general public judges as indistinguishable from humans?

8
15
Total Forecasters62
Community Prediction2052-05-06 (2036-12-20 - 2075-05-12)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2100-01-01
...
...
...
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2036-12-20 23:18
2052-05-06 18:54
2075-05-12 22:16
14.2%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
TNTOutburst
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AGI Outcomes
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Technology
Boston Dynamics
Atlas (mythology)
OpenAI
Chatbot

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