Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will OpenAI limit interactions with GPT-4 on ChatGPT due to model misbehavior before the end of May 2023?

Resolved :No1%
4
5
Total Forecasters97
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
87.7
Community Peer Score
4.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Lawrence
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Business of AI
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2023 Leaderboard
Machine learning
Linguistics
OpenAI
Chatbot
Bing (search engine)
Microsoft

Comments

? comments