Group

Conditional on the change in the transition metal index, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

7 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

> +55%

≤ +55%

Make a Prediction

Condition	25th	median	75th
> +55%	29.9 ...	38.8 ...	46.2 ...
≤ +55%	26.7 ...	36.5 ...	45.1 ...

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

29.92

38.84

46.18

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Zero-emissions vehicle

United States

Conditional on EV median range, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

Conditional on the number of states adopting ZEV mandates, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

50.1

Conditional on the number of public charging stations, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

48.9

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Zero-emissions vehicle

United States

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Conditional on EV median range, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

Conditional on the number of states adopting ZEV mandates, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

50.1

Conditional on the number of public charging stations, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

48.9