Group

Conditional on the number of public charging stations, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

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10 forecasters

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> 185k

≤ 185k

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Condition

median

PDF

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Mar 16, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 1, 2031

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Light commercial vehicle

Zero-emissions vehicle

United States

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Conditional on gas prices, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

Conditional on the number of states adopting ZEV mandates, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

50.1

Conditional on EV median range, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Mar 16, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 1, 2031

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Light commercial vehicle

Zero-emissions vehicle

United States

Competing With $1/Gallon Gas—The Strange Non-Economics Of EV Charging

Forbes•Feb 28, 2025

EV switching blueprint? The European country where 90% of new cars are already electric

Daily Mail•Feb 28, 2025

Nio Stock Price Prediction For 2025: What To Know

Forbes•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Conditional on gas prices, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

Conditional on the number of states adopting ZEV mandates, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

50.1