Group

Conditional on gas prices, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

Forecast Timeline

> $3.30

≤ $3.30

Make a Prediction

	25th	median	75th
> $3.30	35.8 ...	45.9 ...	55.4 ...
≤ $3.30	20.3 ...	27.3 ...	36.3 ...

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

35.77

45.89

55.39

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Light commercial vehicle

US dollar

Gasoline and diesel usage and pricing

Zero-emissions vehicle

United States

Worldwide Harmonised Light Vehicles Test Procedure

Conditional on the number of public charging stations, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

48.9

Conditional on EV median range, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

Conditional on the number of states adopting ZEV mandates, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

50.1

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Light commercial vehicle

US dollar

Gasoline and diesel usage and pricing

Zero-emissions vehicle

United States

Worldwide Harmonised Light Vehicles Test Procedure

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Conditional on the number of public charging stations, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

48.9

Conditional on EV median range, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

Conditional on the number of states adopting ZEV mandates, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

50.1