Question

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction60.5 (50.6 - 68.7)

Make a Prediction

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100

...

0.5%

50.63

60.49

68.72

0.9%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

International Energy Agency

New energy vehicles in China

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Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

52%

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

65%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

International Energy Agency

New energy vehicles in China

US Trade Policy Toward China Endangers the Green Transition

Jacobin•Dec 11, 2024

Idaho Antimony Mine Soon Goes Live Amid Rising U.S.-China Trade War

Forbes•Dec 11, 2024

Top 3 Lithium Stocks To Buy In 2025: Is Lithium Recovery In Sight?

Forbes•Dec 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

52%

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

2.82

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

65%

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What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

Comments

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?

What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?