Question

Will the United States pass a law setting deadlines on NEPA review before January 1, 2027?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction50% (43% - 64%)

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50%

community: 50%

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Environmental impact statement

Canada

Australia

National Environmental Policy Act

House Republican Conference

United States

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What will be the average preparation time (in days) of environmental impact statements completed in 2025?

1.52k

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, how many mines will produce either cobalt, nickel, manganese, or graphite in the United States in 2030?

2.66

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Environmental impact statement

Canada

Australia

National Environmental Policy Act

House Republican Conference

United States

Biden set an ambitious new climate goal. Will it still matter under Trump?

•Dec 19, 2024

Republicans’ Next Reconciliation Bill Could Include These Reforms

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

US oil and gas producers pressure House to pass pivotal permitting bill and get America ‘back on track’

FOX News•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the average preparation time (in days) of environmental impact statements completed in 2025?

1.52k

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, how many mines will produce either cobalt, nickel, manganese, or graphite in the United States in 2030?

2.66

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Will the United States pass a law setting deadlines on NEPA review before January 1, 2027?

Make a Prediction

What will be the average preparation time (in days) of environmental impact statements completed in 2025?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, how many mines will produce either cobalt, nickel, manganese, or graphite in the United States in 2030?

Comments

What will be the average preparation time (in days) of environmental impact statements completed in 2025?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, how many mines will produce either cobalt, nickel, manganese, or graphite in the United States in 2030?

What will be the average preparation time (in days) of environmental impact statements completed in 2025?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, how many mines will produce either cobalt, nickel, manganese, or graphite in the United States in 2030?

What will be the average preparation time (in days) of environmental impact statements completed in 2025?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, how many mines will produce either cobalt, nickel, manganese, or graphite in the United States in 2030?