Question

Will the United States pass a law setting deadlines on NEPA review before January 1, 2027?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction49.4% (43% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 49.4%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Mar 16, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Environmental impact statement

Canada

Australia

National Environmental Policy Act

House Republican Conference

United States

US oil and gas producers pressure House to pass pivotal permitting bill and get America ‘back on track’

FOX News•Feb 16, 2025

Trump Is Moving to Kill a Key Federal Environmental Law

Jacobin•Feb 18, 2025

Trump Moves To Repeal Burdensome NEPA Rules—What’s Next?

Forbes•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the average preparation time (in days) of environmental impact statements completed in 2025?

1.54k

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, how many mines will produce either cobalt, nickel, manganese, or graphite in the United States in 2030?

2.66

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Mar 16, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Environmental impact statement

Canada

Australia

National Environmental Policy Act

House Republican Conference

United States

US oil and gas producers pressure House to pass pivotal permitting bill and get America ‘back on track’

FOX News•Feb 16, 2025

Trump Is Moving to Kill a Key Federal Environmental Law

Jacobin•Feb 18, 2025

Trump Moves To Repeal Burdensome NEPA Rules—What’s Next?

Forbes•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the average preparation time (in days) of environmental impact statements completed in 2025?

1.54k

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, how many mines will produce either cobalt, nickel, manganese, or graphite in the United States in 2030?

2.66