Question

Will a new federal "Cash for Clunkers" program be passed into law before 2027?

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Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction6% (5% - 20%)

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community: 6%

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RyanBeck

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Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Electric vehicle

Internal combustion engine

United States

Car Allowance Rebate System

Chuck Schumer

The federal EV tax credit has an uncertain fate. What car shoppers should know

NPR Online News•Dec 16, 2024

Trump Will Reportedly Block the US Government and Military From Buying EVs

Wired•Dec 17, 2024

US EPA approves California plan to ban gas-only cars starting in 2035

One America•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Conditional on a new "cash for clunkers" program, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Electric vehicle

Internal combustion engine

United States

Car Allowance Rebate System

Chuck Schumer

The federal EV tax credit has an uncertain fate. What car shoppers should know

NPR Online News•Dec 16, 2024

Trump Will Reportedly Block the US Government and Military From Buying EVs

Wired•Dec 17, 2024

US EPA approves California plan to ban gas-only cars starting in 2035

One America•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Conditional on a new "cash for clunkers" program, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%

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Will a new federal "Cash for Clunkers" program be passed into law before 2027?

Make a Prediction

Conditional on a new "cash for clunkers" program, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

Comments

Conditional on a new "cash for clunkers" program, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

Conditional on a new "cash for clunkers" program, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

Conditional on a new "cash for clunkers" program, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?