Question

Will a new federal "Cash for Clunkers" program be passed into law before 2027?

no comments0

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction5% (4% - 11%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Mar 16, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Electric vehicle

Internal combustion engine

United States

Car Allowance Rebate System

Chuck Schumer

Yes, You Can Still Get That $7,500 Federal Rebate When You Buy an Electric Car

Mother Jones•Jan 26, 2025

'We are not California': New Jersey dealers push back on electric truck rules

NPR Online News•Jan 28, 2025

What is Chancellor Rachel Reeves promising electric car drivers in her new economy boosting pledge?

Daily Mail•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Conditional on a new "cash for clunkers" program, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Mar 16, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Electric vehicle

Internal combustion engine

United States

Car Allowance Rebate System

Chuck Schumer

Yes, You Can Still Get That $7,500 Federal Rebate When You Buy an Electric Car

Mother Jones•Jan 26, 2025

'We are not California': New Jersey dealers push back on electric truck rules

NPR Online News•Jan 28, 2025

What is Chancellor Rachel Reeves promising electric car drivers in her new economy boosting pledge?

Daily Mail•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Conditional on a new "cash for clunkers" program, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%