Question

Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction37%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 37%

median 37.0%mean 33.7%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

US Environmental Protection Agency

Supreme Court of the US

Clean Air Act

California

Will the EPA grant a waiver for the entirety of California's proposed Advanced Clean Cars II before January 21, 2025?

62%

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?

11.6

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

US Environmental Protection Agency

Supreme Court of the US

Clean Air Act

California

Blue state drivers brace for higher prices at the pump over tighter climate standards

New York Post•Nov 12, 2024

Trump nominates former Rep. Lee Zeldin to lead the Environmental Protection Agency

•Nov 12, 2024

California Regulators Pass Carbon Emission Mandate for Fuel Sellers—and Shrug Off Concerns Over Anticipated Price Hikes

Washington Free Beacon•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the EPA grant a waiver for the entirety of California's proposed Advanced Clean Cars II before January 21, 2025?

62%

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?

11.6