Question

Will the US eliminate or delay the critical mineral and battery component requirement for electric vehicle tax credit eligibility before January 1, 2027?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction18% (14% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 18%

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

China

United States

Biden administration races to approve clean energy loans before Trump takes over — here’s who is benefiting

TechCrunch•Dec 14, 2024

Expect Pricier EVs, Solar Panels, and Heat Pumps as a Result of Trump’s Tariffs

Mother Jones•Dec 14, 2024

The federal EV tax credit has an uncertain fate. What car shoppers should know

NPR Online News•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Conditional on the US eliminating EV sourcing requirements, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

65%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

China

United States

Biden administration races to approve clean energy loans before Trump takes over — here’s who is benefiting

TechCrunch•Dec 14, 2024

Expect Pricier EVs, Solar Panels, and Heat Pumps as a Result of Trump’s Tariffs

Mother Jones•Dec 14, 2024

The federal EV tax credit has an uncertain fate. What car shoppers should know

NPR Online News•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Conditional on the US eliminating EV sourcing requirements, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

65%

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Will the US eliminate or delay the critical mineral and battery component requirement for electric vehicle tax credit eligibility before January 1, 2027?

Make a Prediction

Conditional on the US eliminating EV sourcing requirements, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

Comments

Conditional on the US eliminating EV sourcing requirements, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

Conditional on the US eliminating EV sourcing requirements, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

Conditional on the US eliminating EV sourcing requirements, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?