Question

Will the US eliminate or delay the critical mineral and battery component requirement for electric vehicle tax credit eligibility before January 1, 2027?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction18%

Make a Prediction

community: 18%

median 18.0%mean 17.5%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

China

United States

Conditional on the US eliminating EV sourcing requirements, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

65%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

China

United States

Car makers slash EV prices, suspend production and extend petrol model availability as electric demand wanes

Daily Mail•Oct 3, 2024

Carmakers ramp up pressure on chancellor for EV sales subsidies

Guardian•Oct 4, 2024

European Union votes to impose tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles

NBC•Oct 4, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Conditional on the US eliminating EV sourcing requirements, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

60.5

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

65%

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Will the US eliminate or delay the critical mineral and battery component requirement for electric vehicle tax credit eligibility before January 1, 2027?

Make a Prediction

Conditional on the US eliminating EV sourcing requirements, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

Comments

Conditional on the US eliminating EV sourcing requirements, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

Conditional on the US eliminating EV sourcing requirements, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?

Conditional on the US eliminating EV sourcing requirements, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?