Group

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

8 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Law passed

Law not passed

Make a Prediction

Condition	25th	median	75th
Law not passed	149 ...	357 ...	499 ...
Law passed	168 ...	453 ...	571 ...

PDF

CDF

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1k

...

148.7

356.9

499.5

5.3%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Mar 16, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 15, 2028

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Environmental impact statement

National Environmental Policy Act

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