Question

What percent of the global population will identify as "religiously unaffiliated" in 2050?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters114

Community Prediction21 (17.1 - 26.3)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>30

...

1.3%

17.14

21.02

26.26

14.2%

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Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

A top Chinese economist just said what many people suspected: China's official GDP numbers may not be accurate

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Takeaways from AP’s reporting on young nuns

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Map Reveals States Driving Fastest Population Growth In Decades

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?

42.4%

What will be the world population in the following years?

8.16B

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World

Comments

? comments

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

A top Chinese economist just said what many people suspected: China's official GDP numbers may not be accurate

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Takeaways from AP’s reporting on young nuns

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Map Reveals States Driving Fastest Population Growth In Decades

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?

42.4%

What will be the world population in the following years?

8.16B

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What percent of the global population will identify as "religiously unaffiliated" in 2050?

Make a Prediction

Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?

What will be the world population in the following years?

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World

Comments

Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?

What will be the world population in the following years?

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World

Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?

What will be the world population in the following years?

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World

Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?

What will be the world population in the following years?

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World