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Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?
6
12 comments
12
1d
1w
2m
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Total Forecasters
58
Community Prediction
55% (45% - 67%)
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Histogram
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Federal Security Service
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty
List of states with nuclear weapons
Central Intelligence Agency
Secret Intelligence Service
China
United Kingdom
India
International Atomic Energy Agency
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization
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News Match
US Shares Update on China's Nuclear Arsenal
Newsweek
•
Dec 19, 2024
Pentagon Warns China Has Tripled Its Nuclear Arsenal
Breitbart
•
Dec 20, 2024
Iran expands weaponization capabilities critical for employing nuclear bomb
FOX News
•
Dec 20, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Federal Security Service
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty
List of states with nuclear weapons
Central Intelligence Agency
Secret Intelligence Service
China
United Kingdom
India
International Atomic Energy Agency
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
US Shares Update on China's Nuclear Arsenal
Newsweek
•
Dec 19, 2024
Pentagon Warns China Has Tripled Its Nuclear Arsenal
Breitbart
•
Dec 20, 2024
Iran expands weaponization capabilities critical for employing nuclear bomb
FOX News
•
Dec 20, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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