Question

Will the Ocean Cleanup project fail to have 60 systems up and running by 2021?

Resolved :Yes73%

8 comments8

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction73% (62% - 83%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 73%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

44.2

Community Peer Score

6.4

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

The Ocean Cleanup

Boyan Slat

Great Pacific garbage patch

The most encouraging climate solutions and green technologies of 2024

New Scientist•Dec 17, 2024

Sustainable Ocean Alliance marks 10 years with ocean-friendly startup label and a new batch of ‘ecopreneurs’

TechCrunch•Dec 19, 2024

Will the World's First Nuclear Fusion Power Plant Be Built in Virginia? Here's Why We're Skeptical

Scientific American•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

48%

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

15%

Will British Petroleum (BP) successfully drill a production well at the Kaskida oil field before July 2026?

12%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

The Ocean Cleanup

Boyan Slat

Great Pacific garbage patch

The most encouraging climate solutions and green technologies of 2024

New Scientist•Dec 17, 2024

Sustainable Ocean Alliance marks 10 years with ocean-friendly startup label and a new batch of ‘ecopreneurs’

TechCrunch•Dec 19, 2024

Will the World's First Nuclear Fusion Power Plant Be Built in Virginia? Here's Why We're Skeptical

Scientific American•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

48%

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

15%

Will British Petroleum (BP) successfully drill a production well at the Kaskida oil field before July 2026?

12%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will the Ocean Cleanup project fail to have 60 systems up and running by 2021?

Make a Prediction

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

Will British Petroleum (BP) successfully drill a production well at the Kaskida oil field before July 2026?

Comments

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

Will British Petroleum (BP) successfully drill a production well at the Kaskida oil field before July 2026?

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

Will British Petroleum (BP) successfully drill a production well at the Kaskida oil field before July 2026?

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

Will British Petroleum (BP) successfully drill a production well at the Kaskida oil field before July 2026?

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Will the Ocean Cleanup project *fail* to have 60 systems up and running by 2021?

Make a Prediction

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

Will British Petroleum (BP) successfully drill a production well at the Kaskida oil field before July 2026?

Comments

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

Will British Petroleum (BP) successfully drill a production well at the Kaskida oil field before July 2026?

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

Will British Petroleum (BP) successfully drill a production well at the Kaskida oil field before July 2026?

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

Will British Petroleum (BP) successfully drill a production well at the Kaskida oil field before July 2026?

Will the Ocean Cleanup project fail to have 60 systems up and running by 2021?