Question

Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before April 15th, 2023?

Resolved :No0.1%

25 comments25

Total Forecasters134

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

96.0

Community Peer Score

5.5

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

2023 Leaderboard

George Floyd

1992 Los Angeles riots

United States

Donald Trump

New York (state)

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Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

The Looming Danger of Trump’s January 6 Pardons

Mother Jones•Dec 18, 2024

DOJ Wants to Block Capitol Rioter From Attending Trump's Inauguration

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

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