Question

Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?

Resolved :No

4 comments4

Total Forecasters114

Community Prediction32%

Make a Prediction

community: 32%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

38.0

Community Peer Score

21.9

median 32.0%mean 27.6%

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Technology

Presidency of Barack Obama

Intercontinental ballistic missile

Aerospace engineering

Cold War

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?

Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?

In 2029, will the US have 3,800 or fewer nuclear weapons?

59%

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