Question

Will the United States become a dictatorship by 2100?

79 comments79

Total Forecasters144

Community Prediction29% (15% - 65%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 29%

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Mar 27, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Politics

Economist Intelligence Unit

Democracy Index

Supreme Court of the US

Trump is the kinglike president many feared when arguing over the US Constitution in 1789 – and his address to Congress showed it

The Conversation•Mar 5, 2025

Trump’s rambling and raving speech to Congress had all the trademarks of a despot

Independent•Mar 5, 2025

Why Trump Was the Perfect Pick to Put Project 2025 Into Action

Slate•Mar 7, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?

40%

Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?

What will be the US' score in the Freedom in the World Report for 2050?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Mar 27, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Politics

Economist Intelligence Unit

Democracy Index

Supreme Court of the US

Trump is the kinglike president many feared when arguing over the US Constitution in 1789 – and his address to Congress showed it

The Conversation•Mar 5, 2025

Trump’s rambling and raving speech to Congress had all the trademarks of a despot

Independent•Mar 5, 2025

Why Trump Was the Perfect Pick to Put Project 2025 Into Action

Slate•Mar 7, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?

40%