Question

Will Claude outrank Bard worldwide on Google Trends as of April 4, 2023?

Resolved :Ambiguous

12 comments12

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction50%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

median 50.0%mean 49.5%

Authors:

Anastasia

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Bard (disambiguation)

On January 1, 2025, which frontier AI lab will have a publicly available model with the highest score on the MMLU benchmark?

When will Claude 3.5 Opus be released?

2024-12-19

On December 31st, 2024, which organization will have the most intelligent publicly available AI model as judged by members of the Samotsvety forecasting group?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anastasia

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Bard (disambiguation)

OpenAI is reportedly struggling to improve its next big AI model. It's a warning for the entire AI industry.

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

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Wired•Nov 12, 2024

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Observer (NY)•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

On January 1, 2025, which frontier AI lab will have a publicly available model with the highest score on the MMLU benchmark?

When will Claude 3.5 Opus be released?

2024-12-19

On December 31st, 2024, which organization will have the most intelligent publicly available AI model as judged by members of the Samotsvety forecasting group?