Question

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction

55%

(42% - 77%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Authors:

Lawrence

Opened:

Mar 30, 2023

Closes:

Dec 23, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 1, 2023

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

United States

A new, challenging AGI test stumps most AI models

TechCrunch•Mar 25, 2025

Reid Hoffman: ‘Start using AI deeply. It is a huge intelligence amplifier’

Guardian•Mar 23, 2025

The Perilous Race to Superintelligent A.I.: Progress or Pandora’s Box?

Observer (NY)•Mar 22, 2025

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