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Question

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Total Forecasters169
Community Prediction5% (3% - 15%)

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community: 5%
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Emmanuel Macron has ruled out resigning and stated he will stay in power until the end of his term in 2027, despite the political turmoil following the government's collapse due to a no-confidence vote.
Macron's presidency has hit rock bottom with the National Rally leading his centrist alliance by almost 10 points in polls.
Macron is under pressure to appoint a new prime minister who can pass a 2025 budget through a deeply divided parliament, following the ousting of Prime Minister Michel Barnier.
The French constitution prevents the dissolution of the National Assembly and fresh elections before July 8, 2025, due to the rule against holding two legislative elections within 12 months.
Opened:Mar 28, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027

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