Question

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Community Prediction0%5%10%15%20%Feb 23Feb 27Mar 03Mar 07Mar 11Mar 15Mar 19Mar 23Mar 27Mar 31Apr 04Apr 08Apr 12Apr 16Apr 20now
Total Forecasters172
Community Prediction
5%
(2% - 12%)

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50%
community: 5%
1
Emmanuel Macron has ruled out resigning and stated he will stay in power until the end of his term in 2027, despite the political turmoil following the government's collapse due to a no-confidence vote.
The French constitution prevents the dissolution of the National Assembly and fresh elections before July 8, 2025, due to the rule against holding two legislative elections within 12 months.
Macron is under pressure to appoint a new prime minister who can pass a 2025 budget through a deeply divided parliament, following the ousting of Prime Minister Michel Barnier.
Macron's presidency has hit rock bottom with the National Rally leading his centrist alliance by almost 10 points in polls.
Opened:Mar 28, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 29, 2023

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