Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will the total number of new COVID-19 associated hospital admissions in Virginia for the weeks shown below (starting on Sunday and ending on Saturday)?

2
75
30 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Week Endingresolution
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2.5k
115.9
160.4
217.8
0.1%

What was the final result?124

Community Baseline Score
113.5
Community Peer Score
11.4
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 14
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe II: Hospitalizations Series
Health & Pandemics
2023 Leaderboard
Virology
Virginia
COVID-19
Virginia Department of Health
COVID-19 vaccine
Public health
Immunology
Medicine

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