Question
When will the next Nankai megathrust earthquake occur?
Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction2043-07-07 (2035-10-01 - 2049-12-31)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Oct 2035 | — |
| median | Jul 2043 | — |
| upper 75% | >Dec 2049 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2049-12-31 | 26.1% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Apr 2, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 2, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
