Question
Will the total number of people staying in NYC homeless shelters exceed 100,000 for any day of 2023?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters30
Community Prediction
40%
(33% - 44%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
21.2
Community Peer Score
-1.0
Authors:
Opened:Apr 15, 2023
Closes:Sep 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 17, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?
8%
Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?
20%
How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?
1.73M
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Apr 15, 2023
Closes:Sep 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 17, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?
8%
Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?
20%
How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?
1.73M