Question

Will the WHO identify a new SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Concern before 2024?

Resolved :No

15 comments15

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

55.7

Community Peer Score

36.3

median 1.0%mean 2.5%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

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