15 comments
91 forecasters
Will the WHO identify a new SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Concern before 2024?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Mar 31, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolved:Jan 4, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 25, 2023
How many named variants of SARS-COV-2 in its first 10 years?
18 variants
(15.3 - 23.4)
18 variants
(15.3 - 23.4)
18 forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?
15% chance
9
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
40% chance
65