Question

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR COVID-like illness (CLI) visits in Virginia during summer 2023 exceed the same peak during the preceding winter 2022-2023?

Resolved :No1%

13 comments13

Total Forecasters51

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 3.7%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

92.3

Community Peer Score

19.3

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Here’s what to know about the ‘quad-demic’ threat that could hit this winter

New York Post•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

75%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Here’s what to know about the ‘quad-demic’ threat that could hit this winter

New York Post•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

75%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR COVID-like illness (CLI) visits in Virginia during summer 2023 exceed the same peak during the preceding winter 2022-2023?

Make a Prediction

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

Comments

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?