Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many refugee arrivals will Virginia have in US fiscal year 2023?

Resolved :3.85k3.81k
3
10
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction3.81k (3.55k - 4.05k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>10k
...
...
...
...
3.55k
3.811k
4.051k
0.3%

What was the final result?3.85k

Community Baseline Score
74.7
Community Peer Score
36.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe II
Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series
Health & Pandemics
2023 Leaderboard
Virginia
United States Refugee Admissions Program (USRAP)
Special Immigrant Visa

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