Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will an additional country ban ChatGPT before July 1, 2023?

Resolved :No1%
20
22
Total Forecasters322
Community Prediction1% (0.3% - 1.8%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
32.8
Community Peer Score
60.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
Regulation of AI
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2023 Leaderboard
Italy
European Economic Area
OpenAI
Chatbot

Comments

? comments