Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

How many seats will these parties win in the next New Zealand general election?

2
4
18 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 10

Make a Prediction

Partyresolution
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
1.143
2.761
5.723

What was the final result?6

Community Baseline Score
92.7
Community Peer Score
15.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2023 Leaderboard
New Zealand National Party
New Zealand House of Representatives
New Zealand
Electoral Commission (New Zealand)
Mixed-member proportional representation
ACT New Zealand
Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand
New Zealand Labour Party
2020 New Zealand general election

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