Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here β€” $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Ukraine control Armiansk before July 1, 2023?

Resolved :No1%
12
4
Total Forecasters105
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
98.2
Community Peer Score
3.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
πŸ“° Breaking News Tournament πŸ“°
Geopolitics
2023 Leaderboard
Federal subjects of Russia
President of Russia
Armyansk
Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation
Russia under Vladimir Putin
Ukraine
Crimea
Russia

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