🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will China's GDP exceed the United States' GDP in any year before 2041?

58
48
Total Forecasters397
Community Prediction59% (43% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 59%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Angus Maddison
Total factor productivity
Gross fixed capital formation
China
World Bank
Gross domestic product
United States

Comments

? comments