Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics?

Resolved :Yes99%
8
59
Total Forecasters146
Community Prediction99% (89.6% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-224.7
Community Peer Score
-67.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
jokerwing
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
Sports & Entertainment
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2022 FIFA World Cup
Russo-Ukrainian War
Poland
International Olympic Committee
2024 Summer Olympics
Fédération Internationale d'Escrime
UEFA
2016 Summer Olympics
Court of Arbitration for Sport

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