Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the current Ebola outbreak be stopped before it claims 400 lives?

Resolved :No7%
9
11
Total Forecasters66
Community Prediction7% (5% - 13%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 7%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
51.8
Community Peer Score
4.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
jzima
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2018 Leaderboard
List of Ebola outbreaks
Democratic Republic of the Congo
World Health Organization

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