Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many moves will be played in the first four rounds of the Ding - Nepo FIDE World Chess Championship 2023?

Resolved :155159
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction159 (144 - 179)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<80
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>400
...
...
...
...
...
0.5%
144.5
159
179.4
0.1%

What was the final result?155

Community Baseline Score
52.8
Community Peer Score
32.3
Learn more about scores here.
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

Comments

? comments