Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Theresa May be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2019?

Resolved :Yes81%
16
24
Total Forecasters70
Community Prediction81% (75% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 81%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
62.8
Community Peer Score
24.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
isinlor
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2018 Leaderboard
Brexit withdrawal agreement
1922 Committee
United Kingdom
Theresa May
2019 vote of confidence in the May ministry

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