Question

What will be the average preparation time (in days) of environmental impact statements completed in 2025?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction1.52k (1.43k - 1.61k)

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weight:

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community

<600

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.6k

...

0.2%

1.43k

1.524k

1.613k

0.3%

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Environmental impact statement

US Environmental Protection Agency

Council on Environmental Quality

Public policy

National Environmental Policy Act

Environmental science

Federal Register

Biden Sets New Emissions Targets in a Final Flurry of Climate Action

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Biden set an ambitious new climate goal. Will it still matter under Trump?

•Dec 19, 2024

Decades of Everglades Restoration Efforts Yield Missed Opportunities

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States pass a law setting deadlines on NEPA review before January 1, 2027?

50%

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

What will be the estimated fleet average fuel economy (in mpg) imposed by a regulatory agency in the United States for light vehicles manufactured in the following years?

44.8

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Environmental impact statement

US Environmental Protection Agency

Council on Environmental Quality

Public policy

National Environmental Policy Act

Environmental science

Federal Register

Biden Sets New Emissions Targets in a Final Flurry of Climate Action

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Biden set an ambitious new climate goal. Will it still matter under Trump?

•Dec 19, 2024

Decades of Everglades Restoration Efforts Yield Missed Opportunities

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States pass a law setting deadlines on NEPA review before January 1, 2027?

50%

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

What will be the estimated fleet average fuel economy (in mpg) imposed by a regulatory agency in the United States for light vehicles manufactured in the following years?

44.8

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What will be the average preparation time (in days) of environmental impact statements completed in 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will the United States pass a law setting deadlines on NEPA review before January 1, 2027?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

What will be the estimated fleet average fuel economy (in mpg) imposed by a regulatory agency in the United States for light vehicles manufactured in the following years?

Comments

Will the United States pass a law setting deadlines on NEPA review before January 1, 2027?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

What will be the estimated fleet average fuel economy (in mpg) imposed by a regulatory agency in the United States for light vehicles manufactured in the following years?

Will the United States pass a law setting deadlines on NEPA review before January 1, 2027?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

What will be the estimated fleet average fuel economy (in mpg) imposed by a regulatory agency in the United States for light vehicles manufactured in the following years?

Will the United States pass a law setting deadlines on NEPA review before January 1, 2027?

Conditional on the US implementing NEPA reform, what will be the change in the energy transition metal index for December of 2027 relative to December 2020?

What will be the estimated fleet average fuel economy (in mpg) imposed by a regulatory agency in the United States for light vehicles manufactured in the following years?