Question

Will the EPA grant a waiver for the entirety of California's proposed Advanced Clean Cars II before January 21, 2025?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction62% (55% - 78%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 62%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

US Environmental Protection Agency

California Air Resources Board

Clean Air Act

California

California can ban new gas cars starting in 2035, EPA says

TechCrunch•Dec 19, 2024

EPA greenlights Cali EVs

American Thinker•Dec 19, 2024

Supreme Court takes up case over California vehicle emissions standards

CBS•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

37%

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?

11.6

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

US Environmental Protection Agency

California Air Resources Board

Clean Air Act

California

California can ban new gas cars starting in 2035, EPA says

TechCrunch•Dec 19, 2024

EPA greenlights Cali EVs

American Thinker•Dec 19, 2024

Supreme Court takes up case over California vehicle emissions standards

CBS•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

37%

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?

11.6

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Will the EPA grant a waiver for the entirety of California's proposed Advanced Clean Cars II before January 21, 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?

Comments

Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?

Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?

Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?