Question

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters191

Community Prediction5% (3% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Nov 22, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2099

Scheduled resolution:

May 31, 2101

Ragnarök Series

New Zealand

Nuclear winter

Environmental science

Australia women's national soccer team

What's Wrong With Nuclear Weaponry and Energy

OpEdNews•Feb 16, 2025

Chilling map reveals where 75% of US population could perish in event of a nuclear attack

Daily Mail•Feb 17, 2025

What Happens If Asteroid 2024 YR4 Strikes Earth — And Why We Can’t ‘Nuke’ It

Forbes•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

29.2%

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

23.9%

Comments

? comments