Question

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters190

Community Prediction5% (3% - 13%)

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50%

community: 5%

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ragnarök Series

New Zealand

Australia women's national soccer team

Nuclear winter

Environmental science

We Are One-Quarter Through War's Last Century

OpEdNews•Dec 21, 2024

The next massive volcanic eruption is coming. It will cause chaos the world is not prepared for

CNN•Dec 24, 2024

How Russia's Tactical Nuclear Weapon Stockpile Compares to US'

Newsweek•Dec 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

30%

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

22%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ragnarök Series

New Zealand

Australia women's national soccer team

Nuclear winter

Environmental science

We Are One-Quarter Through War's Last Century

OpEdNews•Dec 21, 2024

The next massive volcanic eruption is coming. It will cause chaos the world is not prepared for

CNN•Dec 24, 2024

How Russia's Tactical Nuclear Weapon Stockpile Compares to US'

Newsweek•Dec 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

30%

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

22%